Wednesday, December 18, 2013

Surface flaws, Beauty inside

Thanks to the techie journalists who panned the Microsoft Surface RT!  Apparently it does not have the supercomputer specs or the slick interface they were looking for.  However, it has the "killer app" that 99% of people interested in productivity are looking for: Office.  The "fail" that the geeks awarded the Surface RT means that you can buy this tablet brand-new at your local Best Buy or online from Microsoft for $199, about what it would cost you to buy Office, alone.

Microsoft shares responsibility (or thanks) for a disastrous launch.  Inescapable TV ads featuring youngsters dancing around and attaching keyboards did nothing to illustrate this tablet's advantages.  A print ad, titled "port-ability" was much better, highlighting the USB connector (another key to real productivity, for memory sticks or adding a wired keyboard ....and missing in the iPad). [Edit: also an SD card slot, so add as much memory as you like, import pictures from your camera, or bring films with you no problem, no extra kit to schlepp.]  I tried the Surface RT at a booth in the AOL building in NYC (of all places, though staffed by one overworked manager and several disinterested and largely uninformed others...non-geniuses, at least at retail).  The Microsoft online store is also an experience to be endured. 

Thank you for allowing us to get a bargain on a great tablet! 


Saturday, October 26, 2013

Other World Bank

Loans by big banks to third world dictators have left these nations in debt, obliged to pay for weapons and lavish lifestyles of their former oppressors.  Why don't they repudiate the loans?  After all, if a thief took you hostage in your own house and ordered pizza and bling, you would not feel obliged to pay for it after the ordeal ended.  The main way nations are forced to pay debts is because if they don't, they will never get another international loan, leaving legitimate development without support.  The World Bank and International Monetary Funds are mostly debt collection agencies for banks that have forgotten that high rewards must come with high risk, meaning they could lose their money.

Why not provide an alternate source of funds for legitimate development, loans that are only made to democratically elected governments?  Aggregated, many individuals contributing to a fund could replace the big bank intermediaries and allow countries to repudiate debts incurred by former dictators.  This would expand the smaller scale idea that has produced successful micro-lenders, making loans to individuals who bigger banks have ignored. 

Maybe Pope Francis could kick-start the process by re-purposing the Vatican Bank from a money laundry to an Other-Wordly Bank.

Monday, October 07, 2013

Quis custodiet ipsos custodes?

In one day since posting a mild suggestion that consumers avoid buying things from Koch Industries, I got more "hits" than in the previous year.  Most were from this "media monitoring service": http://www.moreover.com/   Welcome!  I hope you like your work and are well paid by David and Charles.  Now we can answer the classic question, 'who watches the watchmen?'. 

Sunday, October 06, 2013

America’s Cup Comeback not quite THAT Improbable

photo: USA Today

People say that the Oracle Team USA boat came back from being down 8:1 to win 8 straight and successfully defend the AC.  Actually, although the score was 8:1, the wins were “only” 8:3 in favor of Emirates Team New Zealand.  Oracle was docked 2 points for irregularities in the lead-in series sailed in 45’ cats.  The difference between 8:1 and 8:3 is dramatic when you compare the odds of losing team (Oracle) winning the next 8 straight.  

Trailing 8:3, the odds of Oracle winning the next race, race 12, was 3 in 11 (or 27%) because they had won 3 of the previous 11 races.  This is significantly better than the 11% odds they would have faced if they had won only 1 of the previous 9 races (i.e., really stood at 8:1).  No fancy Sabermetrics-on-water here, just common sense.  The next race, number 13, reached only because Oracle won the do-or-die race 10, was a little better, at 33%, and so on.  Oddly, due to the penalty, what began as a "best of 17", so first to 9 wins, became a 19 race series because ETNZ won 8 and Oracle won 11.  

The bottom line is that trailing 8:3 the losing team has about a 1:1,000 chance of winning the next 8 straight, whereas trailing 8:1 the odds are closer to 1 in a million.  This ignores the improvements the Oracle team made in their boat, which made their ultimate victory much more probable. The comeback was a truly remarkable, historical achievement by any measure. 

Defund the Koch Brothers

The billionaire brothers Charles de Ganahl Koch and David Hamilton Koch strongly support rightist efforts to block progressive legislation, recently most notably the Affordable Care Act (“Obamacare”). Of course they are free to spend their billions however they want, including desperately trying to reverse the results of elections.  However, you also have power beyond the ballot; your wallet.  Koch Industries is heavily involved in petroleum (surprise! not), so reduce your use of oil (but you knew that already).

Koch Industries also owns Georgia-Pacific, which makes products in your grocery store and recently they acquired a company making carpets.  Do NOT buy:
  • Angel Soft toilet paper, 
  • Brawny paper towels, 
  • Mardi Gras napkins, 
  • Quilted Northern toilet paper and paper towels, 
  • Dixie paper plates and cups, 
  • Sparkle paper towels, 
  • Vanity Fair paper napkins, 
  • Stainmaster carpet, or 
  • Lycra fiber.

Send a message that you won't buy toilet paper from people who are making a mess. 

Monday, March 25, 2013

Catholicish

Jews are Jewish; Catholics can be Catholic-ish. 

Raised Catholic?  Culturally Catholic but not a "devout" Catholic?  Spiritual, kinda?  Do you believe some parts of the Old Testament, and many parts of the New Testament?  Groan when you read the latest writhings [sic] of the Vatican?  Enjoy a little frisson at a Pope Francis?  (Francis! As if!)  Does Vatican dogma against gays and women not hunt for you? Do you believe "Catholic" is the community of believers, not the hierarchy? 

Maybe you are Catholicish.  Embrace it! 

Saturday, January 19, 2013

Say it’s so, Te’o

Manti Te’o, a football star at Notre Dame, started something big back in September when he told sports journalists that not only his grandmother but also his girlfriend had died the day of a big football game.  This story was repeated in the media many times.  Then in early December, according to a statement he released to the media this week in response to an online report, he was informed that the girl never existed, that he had been the victim of a hoax.  Obviously a bizarre situation. 

Notre Dame Athletic Director Jack Swarbrick, generally thought to be smart and savvy, said in a press conference that they had engaged a company to conduct an inquiry and now stood completely behind Te’o as a victim.

Here are some possibilities:
  • Maybe he was the innocent victim of a hoax, now doubly victimized.  Potential motives are varied, including contributing to Notre Dame losing a game because their football star was shaken and questioning its importance, or, once the story had gone viral, was there an extortion?  You pay or be humiliated!   
  • Maybe he was initially the victim of the hoax then went along for various reasons, including avoiding or delaying the humiliation, and (most troubling) the boost it gave to his Heisman and other career opportunities.  
  • Maybe he is gay, which remains problematic in sports (despite the decades since Navratilova's bravery), and especially in male team sports, and especially for Te’o as a Mormon at Catholic Notre Dame, because both religions continue to persecute gays. Te’o might have amplified the girl friend into a “girlfriend” to lessen scrutiny.

The vitriol heaped upon him could only come to someone associated with Notre Dame. While Tim Tebow’s piety and purity inspires both believers and skeptics, Te’o’s claim to a deeply-meaningful-but-not-physical relationship stimulated largely ridicule, with few believing or even withholding judgement.  ESPN on-line poll showed the large plurality in all but 2 small western states thought Te’o was a liar, followed distantly by a group who were waiting for more information; almost nobody believed he was a victim.   

At no other school would this story have grown so large, either back in September or now. No other school has so many fans/fanatics, cheering for and against them. This big market gives them independence from conferences but also keeps alive a cottage industry of haters; even the New York Times has taken this opportunity to rehash obscure claims of negligence by Notre Dame.  And Notre Dame itself is full of religious extremists, especially when it comes to sex.  Most of the students attended single-sex high schools, and so peer relationships are even more complicated than usual.  Notre Dame has also sets an exceptionally high standard for recruiting and graduating student-athletes, which stimulate hyperbolic supporters (noble!) and detractors (fraud!).  

People who ask now, if she was the “love of his life”, wouldn’t he go to her funeral?  They are overlooking the context.  Grieving was not occurring in a normal situation, which might have entailed raising some money, going home, and missing a few classes.  To do so, he would’ve missed playing in a rivalry game, telecast nationwide, the biggest game of the year to that point, his last year in college.  He was projected to be a high NFL draft choice, so the loss of exposure and future income were considerations, not to mention the potential loss of the game and letting down his teammates.  

I’ve never liked “human interest” stories in sports, not since first becoming aware of them when ABC started “up close and personal” pieces on athletes in an attempt to broaden interest in the Olympics.  Occasionally, they are practically demanded by the nature of the story, and sometimes then they “work”, such as when a triathlon participant is joined for the entire ordeal by his handicapped son, or when the runner has artificial legs.  Otherwise, they seem cloying and often contrived, at least “airbrushed” in service to some corporate need. 

Nearly a century ago, some Chicago White Sox players conspired to "throw" the World Series.  Superstar "Shoeless" Joe Jackson was somehow involved, perhaps only peripherally, and his fans asked him to "say it ain't so, Joe!".  He might have been entirely innocent, though now his memory is tarnished by the "Black Sox" of 1919.  

Did Te’o invent the girlfriend and her concoct the story of her death?  Evidently not.  Did the sports announcers (lookin’ at you, Brent Musburger) harp on the story relentlessly?  Obviously.  Did Te’o over emphasize the “girl friend”?  Yes.  Did he avoid revealing the hoax because it was humiliating?  Probably.  Did he let the hoax continue because it benefited him?  I hope not.  Can we all take a deep breath, give the young man a break, and focus on what is real in our own lives? Yes, please.